Flat Earth keeps growing, and growing…

   On January 10th, 2018, a French poll showed (among other things) that 10% of those surveyed were openly Flat Earthers. The poll prompted me to write a (very long) article where I was trying to find out if the numbers presented by the French poll were in line with my previous estimations of how many Flat Earthers are.

   Bellow I will link all my articles (with short added conclusions – so you don’t have to read, unless you wanna check), up to the one on January 10th, 2018, articles that not only proved me right in my statistic, but proved that I was quite conservative :

1.https://flateartheducation.wordpress.com/2017/07/20/how-many-flat-earthers-are-thereis-300-million-far-fetched/

The estimated number was roughly 300 million Flat Earthers (about 4% of world population, or 6% of adult population worldwide) – estimate for the end of 2016.

2.https://flateartheducation.wordpress.com/2018/01/10/how-many-flat-earthers-are-there-part-ii-also-predictions-for-2018/

The estimated number was roughly 535 million Flat Earthers (I did revised in this article my previous 300 million number to 350-360 million), which represented roughly 7.5% of the world population, or roughly 10% of the adult population worldwide – estimate for beginning of 2018 – January 10th, 2018.

3.https://flateartheducation.wordpress.com/2018/04/08/how-many-flat-earthers-are-there-part-iii/

This last article, from April 8th, took into account the numbers provided by YouGov survey from April, this year. My previous prediction was that Flat Earthers will reach 10-12% of the adult population by July 2018. The YouGov survey proved that I was conservative in my prediction, because the number of Flat Earthers in April 2018 was close to 16% of the adult population worldwide.

   Now, the second article I linked above took into account the number of subscribers and views of the biggest Flat Earth channels (I removed Eric Dubay’s channel after being deleted, but still had the numbers before deletion), numbers that cannot help in estimating the number of Flat Earthers, but can help in visualizing the trends, and those trends can be added when predicting future estimations. Actually, the Flat Earth channels increase in subscribers and views, are quite close of the increase in numbers of Flat Earthers from various polls and surveys.

   Today, being almost half way through 2018, let’s see how the biggest Flat Earth channels look like, in numbers, compared to May 9th 2017 and January 10th 2018. Eric Dubay’s channel will not be taken into account. Instead, D. Marble channel will be added, but only with data from January 10th, 2018, because on May 9th 2017, D. Marble had only 274 subscribers (so he didn’t make it to the list of biggest FE channels on YouTube).

   Data from https://socialblade.com :

1.Rob Skiba :

   May 9th, 2017 – 81,231 subscribers – 9,273,381 views. January 10th, 2018 – 117,627 subscribers – 14,741,479 views. 44.8% increase in subscribers and 58,96% increase in views, between May 9th, 2017 and January 10th, 2018 (9 month period).

   Today, June 10th, 2018 – 137,556 subscribers and 17,692,539 views. 16.94% increase in subscribers and 20.01% increase in views, from January 10th, 2018 to June 10th, 2018 (5 month period).

2.Flat Earth 101 :

   May 9th, 2017 – 70,783 subscribers – 8,531,707 views. January 10th, 2018 – 120,283 subscribers – 12,970,667 views. 69.93% increase in subscribers and 52.02% increase in views, between may 9th, 2017 and January 10th, 2018 (9 month period).

Today, June 10th, 2018 – 152,464 subscribers and 14,901,371 views. 26.75% increase in subscribers and 14.88% increase in views, from January 10th, 2018 to June 10th, 2018 (5 month period).

3.jeranism :

   May 9th, 2017 – 67,052 subscribers – 10,529,717 views. January 10th, 2018 – 86,659 subscribers – 14,862,315 views. 29.24% increase in subscribers and 41.14% increase in views, between May 9th, 2017 and January 10th, 2018 (9 month period).

Today, June 10th, 2018 : 104,573 subscribers and 16,698,054 views. 17.13% increase in subscribers and 12.59% increase in views, between January 10th, 2018 and June 10th, 2018 (5 month period).

4.ODD Reality :

   May 9th, 2017 – 54,248 subscribers – 5,172,066 views. January 10th, 2018 – 114,842 subscribers – 9,899,300 views. 111.69% increase in subscribers and 91.4% increase in views, between May 9th, 2017 and January 10th, 2018 (9 month period).

Today, June 10th, 2018 : 162,101 subscribers and 15,216,330 views. 41.15% increase in subscribers and 53.71% increase in views, between January 10th, 2018 and June 10th, 2018 (5 month period).

 5.markksargent :

   May 9th, 2017 – 33,891 subscribers – 6,483,215 views. January 10th, 2018 – 47,035 subscribers – 10,217,260 views. 38.78% increase in subscribers and 57.6% increase in views, between May 9th, 2017 and January 10th, 2018 (9 month period).

Today, June 10th, 2018 : 57,967 subscribers and 12,584,986 views. 23.24% increase in subscribers and 23.17% increase in views, between January 10th, 2018 and June 10th, 2018 (5 month period).

6.Celebrate Truth :

   May 9th, 2017 – 33,056 subscribers – 3,752,734 views. January 10th, 2018 – 51,223 subscribers – 6,520,112 views. 54.95% increase in subscribers and 73.74% increase in views, between May 9th, 2017 and January 10th, 2018 (9 month period).

Today, June 10th, 2018 : 88,470 subscribers and 11,897,619 views. 72.71% increase in subscribers and 82.47% increase in views, between January 10th, 2018 and June 10th, 2018 (5 month period).

7.MrThriveAndSurvive :

   May 9th, 2017 – 31,371 subscribers – 6,863,791 views. January 10th, 2018 – 40,501 subscribers – 8,797,581 views. 29.1% increase in subscribers and 28.17% increase in views, between May 9th, 2017 and January 10th, 2018 (9 month period).

Today, June 10th, 2018 : 43,140 subscribers and 9,711,012 views. 6.51% increase in subscribers and 10.38% increase in views, between January 10th, 2018 and June 10th, 2018 (5 month period).

8.D. Marble :

   January 10th, 2018 : 26,210 subscribers and 2,950,000 views. 

Today, June 10th, 2018 : 36,472 subscribers and 4,416,834 views. 39.15% increase in subscribers and 49.72% increase in views, between January 10th, 2018 and June 10th, 2018 (5 month period).

 

I know that there are many other channels that cover Flat Earth subject, but the above ones are basically dedicated Flat Earth channels, with over 90% of their content Flat Earth related, this is why some other big channels, that cover Flat Earth are not in my list. Their data are not very reliable for Flat Earth numbers and trends, simply because they address many other topics.

Back on January 10th, 2018, the median increase of those 8 Flat Earth YouTube channels (Eric Dubay’s channel was included) was, for the respective 9 month period (May 9th, 2017 – January 10th, 2018), 51,81% for the subscribers ( 5.75% per month) and 55.37% for the number of views (6.15% per month).

Today, (Eric Dubay’s channel removed from data, and D. Marble channel added to data), the median increase of these 8 Flat Earth YouTube channels is, for the respective 5 month period (January 10th, 2018 – June 10th, 2018), 30.44% increase for the subscribers (6.08% per month) and 33.36% for the number of views (6.67% per month).

 

This YouTube data regarding Flat Earth channels show an upward trend that is accelerating, even removing Eric’s Dubay channel, the biggest and most viewed, before its demise. GLOBEBUSTERS, another relative young channel, should be added to the above list, mainly because Jeran Campanella (jeranism channel) was active on GLOBEBUSTERS, this affecting his channel increase, but adding to the GLOBEBUSTERS.

However, GLOBEBUSTERS channel is not on https://socialblade.com , the site from where I extracted the YouTube data.

 

Applying the trends from YouTube, to the polls and surveys that took place in the last 2 years, and to my estimates comparing various Google Trends topics and keywords, the number of Flat Earthers is, today, half way through 2018, over 700 million, worldwide.

   The trend continued to rise, since May 2017, with no sign of slowing down, quite opposite in fact. The trends added 0.5% increase per month, for the last 5 months, compared to the 9 months before, which is roughly 10% monthly increase.

   If the trend continues (and all data points that it will), by the end on this year, the number of Flat Earthers will increase by an additional 300 million people, breaking the 1 billion mark. This is what I have been saying since my first estimate.

   I will most likely be proven conservative in my estimation, and the reason is simple : both Christian pastors and preachers and Muslim imams and teachers became more open to Flat Earth, and quite many of them are talking about Flat Earth.

   At least for the Christian side, this can be clearly seen when looking at Celebrate Truth YouTube channel, a channel that had a massive increase of both subscribers and views, for the last 5 months : 72.71% increase in subscribers and 82.47% increase in views.

 

Again, I repeat what I have been saying since I started this blog : 2018 is going to be the year of Flat Earth, most likely the beginning of the end for the globe lie. With over 1 billion people being Flat Earthers at the end of this year, which will make up close to 20% of the adult population (if not more, depending how many religious leaders will openly support Flat Earth), 2019 will most likely be the year when everything will change.

 

Flat Earth Education.

 

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