How many flat earthers are there? Is 300 million far fetched? – Part I

   This is a tough question, and this post will be a very long one, but if you have the curiosity to find out how many flat earther are, you will have the patience to read it.

   We don’t have polls, and even if we had polls, they will come from the same pollsters that gave Brexit no chance, and Trump also had no chance at becoming the POTUS.

   We cannot “dissect” Facebook, Twitter and YouTube and count how many flat earthers exist.

   The only source that I can come up with is Google, with their Google Trends tool.It’s not an exact estimation, but it’s the only one.We don’t know how the algorithms used in Google Trends tool work.We don’t know if Google doctors the numbers.But like it or not, it’s the only option we have at our disposal.There is also Google AdWords, but it’s smaller that the general Google trends.

   So, I took my time and compared the trends regarding Flat Earth and a number of other topics that are popular.Among them : gay rights, black lives matter, Syrian war.Still, I could not appreciate how many flat earthers are, because we don’t know how many gay people are and how many of them are interested in the gay rights.While the number or African-Americans is known, we don’t know how many of them are interested in BLM. Also, there are lots of people outside the gay community and black community that are interested in the gay rights and BLM topics.

   The only topic, popular enough worldwide, to be compared with the flat earth topic was the latest U.S. Elections.We had Russian hackers, trump mentioning Chinese trading relations on a daily basis, Hillary willing to bomb everyone, millennials, BLM, gay people…in one world, the entire plethora of topics in a single one.

   This is a snapshot of Google trends comparing the U.S. Elections and Flat Earth :

FE vs US elections 5

   At the peak, the index for “us elections” was 100, and the one for “flat earth” was 8. I used the search term option, because almost nobody type “U.S. Elections” in the Google search box, but types “us elections”, and almost nobody types in “Flat Earth” but instead types “flat earth”.The above image was took in June 15th, 2017.

   Bellow is another image, with same search terms, took just minutes ago :

us elections vs flat earth 7

   The index for “us elections” is the same, 100, while the index for “flat earth” is 7.Also note the red graph, for “flat earth” being lowered compared to the one on June 15th.But hey, it’s Google…and we all know that they are one of the main control tool our masters have at their disposal.

   Anyway, this is not the point.The point is to estimate, because it’s all I can do with Google Trends, the number of flat earthers back in November 2016, and today.First thing to do is trying to estimate how many Internet users were in November 2016.

   At the end of 2016, the number of Internet users was 3.424 billion.Now, how many could have been in November 2016? I think 3.4 billion Internet users is a fair number.

   Now, how many Internet users were looking for the term “us elections” on November 8th? I can estimate that between 30% and 40% of the U.S. Internet users were interested in the elections on November 8th.

   As for the rest of the world, I can safely appreciate the number of Internet users in the so-called Western countries, interested in the U.S. Elections was between 5% and 10%.The interest in Russia, China and India in the U.S. elections could have been 3% to 5%.And everyone else remaining, between 2% and 3%.

   The Internet users number by countries : http://www.internetlivestats.com/internet-users-by-country/

   I will go with the lowest percentage, as follows : 30% for the U.S., 5% for European Union, Canada, Australia, Japan and South Korea, 3% for China, Russia and India, and 2% for the rest of the world.

   There were roughly, at the end of 2016, a number of 286 million Internet users in the U.S., 400 million users in the E.U., 32 million in Canada, 20 million in Australia, 115 million in Japan and 43 million in South Korea.

   Russia had 102 million Internet users, China had 721 million and India had 462 million.The rest of the countries, combined, had 1,219 billion Internet users.

   30% of the U.S. Internet users ( 286 million) is 85 million.The 5% of the combined European Union, Canada, Australia, Japan and South Korea ( 610 million) is roughly 30 million.China, Russia and India combined had 1,285 billion users, and 3% represents roughly 38,5 million.The rest of the countries had 1,219 billion users, and 2% represents roughly 24 million.

   The total of the Internet users interested in the U.S. Elections, worldwide, was 117 million, based on the percentages I had allocated for every country and area.I don’t know about you, but 117 million people seems to be a very low estimate.But this is the estimate using the low-end percentages.

   If I use the high-end percentages ( 40% for the U.S., 10% for Western countries, 5% for China, Russia and India, and 3% for the rest of the world), the number of Internet users, worldwide, interested in the U.S. Elections was roughly 276 million.

   If I, personally, will have to choose between 117 million and 276 million people interested in the U.S. Election, on the night of Nov. 8th, 2016, I’d go with 276 million.It is far more probable that the 276 million people is the number closer to the real number.It could have been 260 million, it could have been 300 million.For most people, even 300 million seems to be low.

   Anyway, I believe that 270 million was the most probable number of people who were searching for the U.S. Elections on Nov. 8th, 2016.The index for “flat earth” was 7 and 8 (it’s 7 today and it was 8 on June 15th 2017) and the index for “us elections” was 100.This means that between 7% and 8% of the total number of those interested in the U.S. Elections represents those interested in the “flat earth”, on Nov. 8th, 2016.

   This means that between 18,9 million and 21.6 million people were interested in “flat earth”, on Nov. 8th, 2016, and I think that most, if not all, were flat earthers.

   The index for “flat earth” was 52 in November 2016, and 70 in July 2017, when it’s the only term on Google Trends, and the period is “2004-present”.This is an increase of about 36%, from 19-20 million people to 26-27 million people.

   The index for “flat earth” was 25, in the week of Nov. 6th – Nov. 12th 2016 and 39, in the week of June 25th – July 1st 2017, when it’s the only term on Google Trends, and the period is “last 5 years”.This is an increase of about 56%, from 19-20 million people to 29-31 million people.

   The index for “flat earth” was 28, in the week Nov. 6th – Nov. 12th 2016, and 46 in the week of June 25th – July 1st 2017, when it’s the only term on Google Trends, and the period is “last 12 months”.This is an increase of about 64%, from 19-20 million people to 31-32,8 million people.

   As you can see, we cannot get a clear picture of how many flat earthers are.We can only try to guess, based on what we have access to.

   At the start of this post I mentioned the “gay rights” and “black lives matter” topics, compared to “flat earth” topic, and because I cannot appreciate how many people are interested in “gay rights” or “black live matter” topics, I cannot appreciate how many are interested in ‘flat earth” topic.However, bellow is a comparison between this 3 topics in the last 12 months (first graph) and the last 90 days (second graph) :

Blm vs gay vs FE 5

BLM vs FE vs Gay rights 3

     As you can see on the left hand side, the average for “flat Earth” is just above “black lives matter” and about 5 times bigger than “gay rights” for the last 12 months, while for the last 90 days, the “flat earth” index is more than double than “black lives matter” index and about 6 times bigger than “gay rights” index.

   I don’t know how many people are interested in “gay rights”, but 5-6 more people are interested in “flat earth”.I also don’t know how many people are interested in “black lives matter” topic, but for the last 3 months, at least twice as more were interested in “flat earth”.

   There are over 1 billion black people, and probably 200 million gay people in the world.How many of each are active on the Internet and interested in what they fights for, be it gay rights or black lives matter? I can safely say that at least 20 million gay people and at least 50 million blacks are active on the Internet and interested in their rights.

   That puts the number of people interested on “flat earth” to 120 to 130 million, and the vast majority (95% at least) are flat earthers.

   Based on Google Trends, and various comparisons, the number of flat earthers is today, between 30 million and 120 million.Is any of these two numbers close to the real number?

   I can say that neither of them is close to the real number.I have data outside Google Trends, and according to those, the flat earthers represent between 16% and 18% of those between 16 and 65 years old.However, that data comes from main stream media sources in various countries, that puts the percentage of flat earthers at 10% to 13% of their readers and viewers, or comes from various forums, that puts the percentage if flat earthers to 18% to 32% of their members.

   The real number is somewhere is the middle of all those numbers and percentages.After a lot of work, that took weeks, gathering data where it was available, I come up with a number.This number represents about 6% of the adult population (18 to 65 years old) worldwide and it’s close to 300 million people.

   Yes, almost 300 million.If you think it’s not, put this number into perspective.It’s just 6% of the adult population worldwide, or just above 4% of the total world population.Now it doesn’t seem to be that big.

   And for those who are in touch with HAARP and Chemtrails, you can make a comparison bellow, between “flat earth”, “haarp” and “chemtrails” search terms in the last 12 months :

flat earth vs haarp vs chetrails

   Flat Earth is almost 4 times more popular than HAARP and Chemtrails.If you personally think that there are A LOT of people interested in HAARP or Chemtrails…there are almost 4 times more interested in Flat Earth.

   It’s fairly safe to say that at least 1%, maybe even 2% of people worldwide are interested in HAARP or Chemtrails…and this puts flat earthers at least 4% of world population ( the percentage I came up with), and as much as 8% of the world population.

   But let’s keep it to just above 4% (or 300 million), because if we go to 8%, a lot of people will cry to sleep tonight.

 

Flat Earth Education.

 

Advertisements

Leave a Reply

Fill in your details below or click an icon to log in:

WordPress.com Logo

You are commenting using your WordPress.com account. Log Out /  Change )

Google+ photo

You are commenting using your Google+ account. Log Out /  Change )

Twitter picture

You are commenting using your Twitter account. Log Out /  Change )

Facebook photo

You are commenting using your Facebook account. Log Out /  Change )

w

Connecting to %s